2026 Spring Economic Outlook

Watch our Chief Economist Lúcio Vinhas de Souza explain the findings and read the full BusinessEurope Economic Outlook Spring 2026.

Economy and competitiveness Macroeconomic policy / Economic Outlook

Geopolitical headwinds cloud Europe’s economic outlook.

Our latest Economic Outlook revises EU GDP growth down to 1.2% in 2026 (1.0% in the euro area), while inflation is expected to average around 2.8%.

What should businesses expect in the coming months? And what must Europe do to strengthen its growth and competitiveness?